See the blue spot south of Greenland and IcelandIn the journal Nature Communications, Peter & Susanne Ditlevsen did an analysis of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), the ocean current responsible for warming Europe significantly and have predicted that there is a 95% probabability of this current shutting down between 2025 and 2095, with the most likely time for this event being 2057.
That's in my potential lifetime. (I would be 95, so not so likely).
Basically they look at physics and statistics as well as the temperature drop in an area known as the Irminger Sea, and determine when the flow is likely to stop.
This is difficult to predict. While it would start as a gradual change in flows, at some point, it would abruptly stop, resulting in a temperature drop on the order of 5-15°C (9-27°F) in a matter of a year or so.
We are unbelievably screwed.
Go to the link for pictures and lots of complex equations.
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