10 November 2009

US Wimps Out on Honduras, Tries to Fix Problem They Created

So, the cut a deal between the President of Honduras, and the leaders of the coup that ousted him.

It's a fairly simple deal, a power sharing arrangement, but then the coup leaders decide that they can't hold a vote to approve this until after the elections, meaning that they will be in complete control of the electoral process, and doubtless engaging in fraud, and the response of the Obama administration is, "Sounds good to me":
Under fire from allies in Latin America and on Capitol Hill, the Obama administration moved Tuesday to try to salvage the American-brokered agreement that had been billed as paving the way for a peaceful end to the coup in Honduras. Instead, the accord seems to have provided the country’s de facto government with a way to stay in power until a presidential election scheduled for the end of this month.

The State Department sent Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Craig Kelly to Honduras on Tuesday for meetings with Manuel Zelaya, who was ousted from power as president more than four months ago, and with the head of the de facto government, Roberto Micheletti.
The problem here is that when bad people seize power, they like to hold onto it, and the Obama administration took a cowardly position, because they just did not want to be bothered with little things like the principle of democracy and free elections:
The deal began to unravel last week when the Congress announced it would postpone a vote on Mr. Zelaya’s return to power until after the election. In protest, Mr. Zelaya then refused to submit names for the coalition government. And the United States, breaking with its allies in Latin America, announced it would recognize the results of the coming presidential election, even if Mr. Zelaya were not reinstated.
A hint that this move on their part was a completely boneheaded move that gave succor to tyrants? This:
While the announcement was celebrated by Republicans as a “reversal” of the administration’s policy, it ignited a storm of criticism from Mr. Obama’s allies at home and across Latin America.
If you are getting cheers from the 'Phants, you are on the wrong side of the argument.

What happened here is that it was pressure from other Latin American nations that forced the State Department to start talking about sanctions against the coup leaders, and the Treasury started talking about possible restrictions on remittances, which created an agreement.

The problem was that once the agreement was signed, signals were sent indicating that the US no longer had any interest in the matter.

This is a big deal for a number of reasons.

First, it is a reversal on the progress toward democracies in Latin America, and second it has some very real implications for US foreign policy in the region, because, unlike the US (and Canada), the rest of this hemisphere takes a very dim view on green lighting coups, because they all remember the bad old days when the overthrow of a legitimately elected government, sometimes at the request of US corporate interests, was the rule, rather than the exception.

China and Russia are both making significant efforts in the region, both in terms of securing raw materials and making military sales, and this, along with out completely boneheaded policies on Cuba, are likely to make Latin American countries much more receptive to their overtures.

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