Excess Deaths is the Gold Standard Here
So, the official death toll from Covid-19 crosses the 200,000 mark.
The reason that I think that this number is low is that I have looked at the CDC's excess death figures, and the range there is between 201,917 and 262,877, only the death numbers can be 6-8 weeks late, and these figures only go to the week ending September 5, and deaths have been running at about 10,000 a week.
Given that we are now entering the busy season for viral spreading, more indoor activity and lowering humidity in those spaces, I think that ½ million dead is not outside of the realm of possibility by year's end.
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