That F%$#ing Paper

Did the New York times just BOTH SIDES Ken Paxton's sweetheart deal for a child sex predator. Yes, yes it did. pic.twitter.com/wIylCgg5kP

— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) June 19, 2026

Since part of the subhed was cropped out by Ecch (Twoitter), let me give you the full bit, "The case, which resulted in a short jail sentence despite years of alleged abuse, has drawn outcry in Texas. So have the attempts to politicize it." 

Yeah, the problem with Ken Paxton cutting a corrupt deal with a child molester is people criticizing the corruption.

What the f%$# is wrong with these people?   

It's TACO Friday

Following push-back from the climate community and Congress, the Trump has backpedaled on its plan to remove Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI) sensors.

This would have left the United States blind to climate change events.

Thankfully, Trump Always Chickens Out (TACO). 

The Donald Trump administration has reversed its decision to dismantle a $368m deep-sea observation system following an outcry from lawmakers and ocean experts.

On Thursday, the National Science Foundation announced that it would halt plans to dismantle the Ocean Observatories Initiative, stating: “effective immediately, [it] will not proceed with further removal or descoping of equipment from the remaining arrays and will continue operations including planned maintenance”.

The agency added that it “appreciates the concerns raised by the range of stakeholders that have informed us they rely on data” from the OOI.

The NSF also said it would “issue a Dear Colleague Letter to collect input from stakeholders and convene an expert panel to assess observational needs, evaluate available data sources, consider responses … and help the agency identify a sustainable path for NSF’s ocean observing systems”.

The OOI comprises more than 900 instruments that collect data on ocean health, including current patterns, climate variability and marine biodiversity. Its observation arrays are located off the coasts of North Carolina, Oregon, Washington and Alaska, as well as in the Irminger Sea, a marginal sea between Greenland and Iceland.

They hoped to pass this through with no one noticing, because their response to anthropogenic climate change is to cover it up.

The foal was to  

And The Tolls Are Coming Back

In news that would surprise no one, Iran has announced that they will be restarting transit fees Strait of Hormuz after 60 days.

Gee, color me completely unsurprised.

Iran has announced plans to introduce a system of maritime fees in the strait of Hormuz in two months, after the 60-day period of negotiation that has been triggered by the signing of the memorandum of understanding.

Tehran, claiming a historic victory over the US, said the strait was under its control and a European plan for a naval mission to escort ships though the strait would not be welcome. The US on Thursday lifted its blockade of Iran, and oil tankers began freely moving through the critical channel.

………

The talks, which are the first direct meeting between the two sides since they met in Islamabad on 12 April, will be focused on how to implement the 14-clause memorandum, including how to lift sanctions on Iran’s oil exports and ensure that commercial traffic starts to flow freely through the strait of Hormuz.

In a blow to those hoping the strait of Hormuz would be restored to full and permanent freedom of navigation, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s chief negotiator, said the strait needed to be managed, which would come at a cost. 

Trump is a loser.

Lame Ass Business Management

As a result of mass layoffs and widespread forced AI grinding, the morale of the employees the criminal enterprise formerly known as Facebook™ is falling off of a cliff.

It appears that Meta's answer to this problem is to improve the snacks at work.

As Anna Russel would say, "I'm not making this up, you know."

After axing thousands of jobs and monitoring employees as they train the AI that could ultimately replace them, it’s perhaps unsurprising that morale at Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta is at a low ebb.

It was confirmed this week in a leaked meeting to Business Insider in which Chief Technical Officer Andrew “Boz” Bosworth said that morale is “probably one of the worst it’s ever been.”

………

So far in 2026, Meta staff have had plenty to grumble about. The company laid off 8,000 jobs in April and began tracking workers’ computer activity. The monitoring is so that the company can train its AI models, raising the awkward issue that staff could be helping the very tech that could wind up replacing them.

Aside from the layoffs and 1984-esque surveillance, Meta has assigned roughly 10% of its workforce to train its AI models full-time, which is largely mind-numbing data-labeling. The Applied AI engineering unit comprises roughly 6,500 engineers and product managers. Workers liken it to being “drafted” — one even went so far as to describe it as a “gulag.”

………

But Meta’s leadership, recognizing the company’s sagging esprit de corps, is taking steps to improve morale. For starters, the snack budget is being increased, along with the travel and events fund.

I wish that I had the guillotine concession at Meta.  I'd be as rich as Mark Zuckerberg.  

History Rhyming

So, in addition to seeing localized housing price declines, we now see housing starts falling to a 6 year low.

It smells like 2008. 

May housing starts fell to the lowest level since the pandemic disrupted construction six years ago, the U.S. Census Bureau announced Tuesday. Builder confidence has dropped recently because of higher material and financing costs.

The change threatens to exacerbate housing shortages and disrupt recent progress in most states toward building enough new housing for new residents.

Starts were down to an annual rate of 1.17 million, the lowest since April 2020, and an 8.5% drop since May 2025. The drop since last year was especially severe in the South, down 15%, and the West, down 11%, but the Northeast saw a 19% increase and the Midwest increased 6%.

These numbers vary from region to region, but it's more like they are taking turns.

It's Thursday ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

We have the new weekly unemployment numbers out, and initial claims are down marginally, continuing claims are up marginally, and tepid hiring.

For me, the most important part of the unemployment statistics is that I am no longer a part of them.  I finished my first full week at my new job. (it's a 9/80 schedule, and tomorrow is the off Friday)

The number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, but remained at slightly higher levels, suggesting some moderation in the pace of job growth in June.

 Economists largely shrugged off the report from the Labor Department ​on Thursday, with some pointing out that the recent elevation in claims was likely due to seasonal distortions related to the end of the school year. They viewed the labor market ‌as remaining stable enough for the Federal Reserve to focus on stamping out inflation, stoked by the Iran war.

The U.S. central bank on Wednesday kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range, but updated quarterly projections showed policymakers expected to raise borrowing costs this year amid growing concerns about inflation.

………

Initial claims ​for state unemployment benefits dropped 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 226,000 for the week ended June 13, the Labor Department said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast ⁠225,000 claims for the latest week. Claims had increased for three straight weeks, pushing to the upper end of their 190,000-230,000 range for this year.

………

Though the survey's measure of factory jobs swung to positive territory this month, "most firms continued to report no changes in employment overall." The lack of hiring was evident in the weekly claims report. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits after an initial week of aid, ⁠a proxy for ​hiring, increased 24,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.81 million during the week ended June 6, the claims report showed. 

Damned if I know what the f%$# is going on here.

Master Builder, Huh?

So not only is Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool having a major algae bloom, but the beautiful blue lining that Trump demanded is flaking off.

Trump claimed that the coating would last for 100 years. It did not make it to 100 days.

This is a metaphor for something.

President Donald Trump’s overhaul of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool has taken another turn for the worse.

Trump, 80, had spent months bragging about repainting the massive pool on the National Mall a specifically chosen shade of “American flag blue.” But less than 24 hours after his vanity project was completed at a cost of more than $14 million, the pool turned green with algae.

Now, a fresh issue has surfaced: Trump’s “American flag blue” finish is flaking off and floating to the surface. 

………

Trump had intended for the coating to change the pool’s longtime gray hue to a swimming-pool-like blue, while also acting as a sealant for the structure, which leaks millions of gallons of water a year.

“This was highly sophisticated material, industrial strength, that could last for 100 years, applied by very talented people, many of whom came from the Great State of Oklahoma, where I won 77 out of 77 Counties, THREE TIMES, the only President to ever do so,” he wrote in a Truth Social post earlier this month. “The material is thick, strong, flexible, and has a natural, beautiful color, the dark blue of the American Flag!”

Donnie, go flake yourself.

Fun With Gila Monster Venom

After my two latest doctor visited showed high A1C, I was prescribed Ozempic.

I've lost a bit of weight over the past 5 weeks, high single digit, but I think that a lot of that is just a reduction in stomach contents.

I haven't so much noticed a reduction in appetite as I have noticed an increase in satiety.  I get full faster, and I stay full longer. 

Some interesting factoids at this point, first. there are preliminary indications that  GLP-1 drugs may prevent certain cancers , and second, Canada just licensed generic GLP-1 drugs.

In any case, I am definitely eating less. 

Using Shakespeare to Demonstrate Quantum Superposition

This is both simultaneously a cat and a ham.

Could a physicist please tell me when the wave function collapses here?  

Speaking of the Predictions of Nostra-Dumbass, a Deal Got Signed with Iran

I got it wrong when I said that there was no deal on the table as well.  There will be a signing a deal in Switzerland. (Apparently Trump signed the deal at Versailles, doubtless while eating cake.)

You gotta hand it to the Islamic Republic of Iran.  It took the Vietnamese 14 years to defeat us, it took the Afghans about 20 years, and it took the Iraqis about 6 years.

It took the Iranians about 16 weeks to kick our ass, as demonstrated by this 14 paragraph memorandum. 

A quick summary of the deal.

1. The end of hostilities, including in Lebanon, and this applies to Israel as well.
2.  Mutual respect of Iranian and US sovereignty.
3. A 60 day deadline this deal unless both sides agree to extend it.
4. The US will end its blockade and remove some troops in 30 days and Iran.
5. Iran will charge no transit fees on the Strait of Hormuz for the next 60 days.
6. Iran gets $300,000,000,000.00 in aid to rebuild. (Maybe not from the US)
7. The US will waive all sanctions immediately and rescind all sanctions as quickly as is practical including those by the UN Security Council and the IAEA.
8. Iran will not develop nuclear weapons.
9. An agreement to remain at the pre-hostilities status quo. 
10. The US agrees not to create or renew any sanctions.
11. The US agrees to release frozen and seized Iranian assets.
12. There will be some sort of arrangement to enforce the final deal.
13. Final status negotiations when paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10 and 11 are all being implemented. 
14. This agreement shall be formally approved by the UN Security Council.

So, the US withdraws troops from the area, ends the blockade, releases Iranian assets, ends sanctions, arranges for Iran to get three hundred billion dollars, and leans on Israel to end its attacks on Lebanon.

In return, the Iranians agree not to develop nuclear weapons (which they have always said was the case) and not to charge transit fees on the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days. 

It's a loss for the United States, and even the New York Times Editorial Board noticed and took a break from polishing Trump's balls to say this.

Today in Lying Liars Lying

Keith Sonderling, Trump's Acting Secretary of Labor just threatened nearly every state and territory in the union with an unemployment funding cutoff for imaginary fraud.

These are truly horrible human beings.

Keith Sonderling sent letters to 53 states and US territories demanding action to “combat waste, fraud, and abuse” within the unemployment insurance program, threatening to withhold administrative funds from states for the first time in history.

“We are officially putting governors on notice,” said the acting US secretary of labor. “The American people will no longer tolerate the blatant waste, fraud, and abuse of their hard-earned tax dollars – no state should allow it either. If states allow it, they will suffer the consequences. This department is no longer afraid to use every lever available to ensure taxpayer money is protected.”

The agency did not provide data on fraud or alleged fraud in unemployment systems, but highlighted three Democrat-led states – California, New York and Illinois – and made claims about each.

Spoiler, Florida has a higher error rate than any of those states.

Remember When Colbert Played the Vince Guaraldi Peanuts Music on his Last Show?

He ended up costing CBS a lot of money.

No amount disclosed for the settlement, the Lee Mendelson Film Productions announced that, "It would donate all proceeds to World Central Kitchen, the disaster-relief food non-profit founded by chef José Andrés."

Sweet, 

Well, I Got This One Wrong

I was certain that the Federal Reserve would raise rates today.  They did not.

Once again, the Saroff powers of prognostication maintain their sterling record of failure. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Still, it looks like there will be a rate hike later in the year, so the bond markets were spooked.

Federal Reserve officials Wednesday signaled they might soon need to raise interest rates instead of cutting them, a sharp shift in thinking amid a rapid rise in inflation.

The Fed kept interest rates steady Wednesday at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed chair, as the new central bank chief inherited an economy hit by energy-driven inflation that is squeezing consumers’ wallets and a White House pushing for lower borrowing costs.

Nine of the 19 officials who participate in Fed policy meetings penciled in at least one rate increase by the end of the year, up from zero in March, when most Fed officials still anticipated cutting rates.

Financial markets fell on the signals of higher interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down about 1 percent, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.3 percent. Yields on U.S. Treasury bonds jumped, as investors demanded higher returns to compensate for the prospect of potentially rising interest rates.

It is what it is, and I have no clue as to what it is.

 

Skeet of the Day

Congratulations to Elon on becoming the world’s first trillionaire from London 🔥

[image or embed]

— WuTangIsForTheChildren (@wutangforchildren.bsky.social) June 12, 2026 at 3:17 PM

This is from London, where the "C-Word" is far less offensive than it is in the USA. (It's even less offensive still in Australia.)

Best Military in the World

The F-35 has only a 25% mission read rate.

No wonder Iran won the war.

The F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter’s readiness rates continued to decline through fiscal 2025, with the fleet’s full mission capable rate falling to 25%, according to a new Government Accountability Office report released Thursday.

The mission capable rate, which measures the percentage of time aircraft can perform at least one of their tasked missions, dropped from 67% in fiscal 2021 to 44% in fiscal 2025, GAO found.

The full mission capable rate, the share of time aircraft can perform all assigned missions, slid from 38% to 25% over the same period.

Air Force officials attributed part of the fiscal 2025 drop to new jets that couldn’t perform their missions because of software delays, along with scarce parts and corrosion problems, according to the report.

“The F-35 is DOD’s most costly weapon system, but it hasn’t met performance goals and costs to sustain the aircraft continue to increase,” GAO wrote in a summary accompanying the report.

The Military Industrial Complex is now eating itself.

The Obama Center is a Monument to the More Effective Evil | Black Agenda Report

The Obama Center is a Monument to the More Effective Evil

—Black Agenda Report, discussing Obama's Presidential library

That's a pretty good summary of what the library is in moral terms.

I have already commented on how it is an architectural atrocity.  Margaret Kimberly makes a good case for it being a moral atrocity as well.

Barack Obama bailed out the banks, deported millions, and devastated nations and millions of people through wars of aggression. The $850 million Obama Center is a monument to his role as the "more effective evil" in U.S. politics.

“Barack Obama does not carry our burden, in addition to other burdens. He in fact promises to lift white-people-as-a-whole’s burden, the burden of having to listen to these very specific and historical black complaints, to deal with the legacies of slavery. That is his promise to them. That is what allowed him to amass huge, huge numbers of white votes. And he will amass larger and larger percentages of black votes now that black folks see that white folks will vote for Barack Obama.” - Glen Ford, January 9, 2008

The Obama Center, Barack Obama’s oligarch funded monument to himself, cost a grand total of $850 million to build. The ability to raise such a huge amount of money tells much of the story of the Obama presidency. Barack Obama, like all other presidents, was beholden to the ruling class and accordingly carried out all of their directives, which is what one might expect. In return, presidents are paid off upon leaving office with the likes of Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates donating $25 million each to the Obama Foundation to build the Obama Center. Their largess is an indicator of what Obama did so well. He very skillfully marketed himself as a progressive while breaking fundraising records with a $750 million war chest haul in his 2008 campaign. Glen Ford described the contradictions as, “Goldman Sachs and the anti-war movement being on the same page.”

(emphasis original)

The essay is well written and righteous.  Read the rest.

Another Day, More Fascism

Federal prosecutors have charged anti-ICE 15 protesters with conspiracy and related charges for protests in and around Minneapolis.

I wonder what sort of f%$#ed up sh%$ the prosecutors pulled in the grand jury to get indictments.

It probably makes what happened in Chicago look like a cake walk.

Federal prosecutors have charged 15 Minnesotans who are accused of efforts to “violently oppose immigration law enforcement” during Operation Metro Surge protests.

Outside the Warren E. Burger Federal Building, where some of the defendants’ first appearances took place, protesters clashed with U.S. Marshals, who deployed gas, pepper spray and flash bangs at the scene.

A dozen of those charged were arrested. Numerous defendants were released later in the day.

The Minnesota U.S. Attorney’s Office, alongside Homeland Security Investigations officials, said the charges stem from “conspiring to impede or injure federal officers and other offenses against members of two Minneapolis-based antifa groups.” Antifa, short for antifascist, has been a target of the Trump administration, with the president last year labeling it a domestic terrorist organization.

 

Too Much for Even the 'Phants

It appears that Trumps proposed appointment of corrupt real-estate nepo-baby Bill Pulte as head of DNI was a bridge too far for Senate Republicans.

Gee, hoocoodanode? 

President Trump said on Thursday that he would nominate Jay Clayton, the U.S. attorney in Manhattan, to be the next director of national intelligence, after the president faced a revolt from lawmakers over his choice for an interim director without any relevant experience.

Mr. Trump had been under pressure to move on from his decision to appoint Bill Pulte, a top housing official, as the acting director, replacing Tulsi Gabbard, who announced last month that she would step down from the post.

Mr. Pulte, who has used his current job to attack Mr. Trump’s enemies, had come under withering criticism from Capitol Hill. Both Republicans and Democrats have argued he was unqualified to lead the nation’s intelligence agencies.

………

Mr. Clayton, 59, was recommended for the post by John Ratcliffe, the C.I.A. director, according to a person familiar with the conversation. The current plan is for Mr. Pulte to take over from Ms. Gabbard on June 19 and serve as the acting director until Mr. Clayton’s nomination is reviewed by the Senate.

………

Senate Democrats may also support a speedy confirmation of Mr. Clayton, if only to push Mr. Pulte out of the acting role. Senator Mark Warner of Virginia, the top Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, said he needed a guarantee that Mr. Pulte would not serve as the acting director, a sentiment echoed by Senator Chuck Schumer, the minority leader.

I'm wondering if this was actually the plan all along.

Guck Favin

It looks like everyone's favorite political tweeter, and political sh%$-heel, Gavin Newsom is pulling out all the stops to kill California's billionaire tax.

F%$# him with Cheney's dick. 

Governor Gavin Newsom is mounting a last-ditch pressure campaign to stop a proposed California billionaire tax from ever reaching voters.

During a call last month, he assured a major Democratic donor the levy would be successfully negotiated away before a June 25 deadline, a person familiar with the call said, asking not to be named discussing a private conversation.

………

Now Newsom has less than two weeks to make good on his promise and convince the group behind the measure to withdraw its proposal, averting a costly showdown in the November general election. A spokesperson for the governor declined to comment on the call.

The proposal, which would impose a one-time 5% tax on a billionaire’s net worth, has become one of the most closely watched political fights in California, exposing divisions within the Democratic Party and serving as a test of the broader appetite in the US for taxing extreme wealth.

Powerful new allies recently joined Newsom’s crusade. Groups like the California branch of Planned Parenthood and the state’s largest teachers’ union now publicly oppose the tax.

Together, they’ve formed an unlikely bloc against the levy: Newsom and progressive groups as well as Democratic and Republican mega-donors, like Peter Thiel and Sergey Brin.

For SEIU-UHW, the healthcare union that proposed the measure, and its leader, Dave Regan, the growing opposition means the campaign is no longer just taking on billionaires. It is also going up against groups representing teachers and carpenters, as well as Democratic stalwarts.

They are all screaming that the billionaires will move to Texas and Florida to avoid taxes.

After a year, said billionaires will learn realize that THEY ARE LIVING IN FLORIDA OR TEXAS, and they will want to return to a place that is not a f%$#ing snake pit.

The taxes raised are not that important.  What is important is giving the billionaires in general, and the Tech Bros in particular, a loss. 

Started a New Job Today

At Thales DSI.

As is my custom, I will not be providing any details, though I may comment on something gets coverage in the mainstream media, and probably not even then.

I will note that the intake orientation was quite amusing in a good way.  Their security guy was very funny, as in standup comic funny, all while communicating what is required in a clear and concise way.

Best orientation that I have ever been to. 

Would have told you earlier, but I did not want to jinx it. 

Womp, Womp, Womp, Wommmmp!

Facebook Post of the Day Much like every other construction that Donald Trump has been involved with, it appears that his "restoration" of the reflecting pool is a resounding failure.

It's all about the grift for him, construction quality be damned.

The newly renovated Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool seems unable to escape an old scourge: algae blooming in the shallow water.

Thin layers of algae floated on the World War II Memorial side of the pool Friday morning, even after workers were seen cleaning out algae from the bottom of the pool Wednesday.

The reflecting pool construction project started in April and work was completed last week as part of President Donald Trump’s sprawling plan to spruce up the capital ahead of the nation’s 250th anniversary. The president has characterized the century-old pool as “filthy” and “dirty,” claiming that the pool would look “far more beautiful, more beautiful than it did in 1922” upon renovation.

Yes adding that Trump Kitsch will make it so more beautiful. 

Linkage

• Demand Is Booming for New No Tech, Repairable Tractor (404 Media) Ursa Ag is building tractors with minimal electronics that can be repaired by the farmer. Also a lot cheaper.
• AI Doesn't Have ROI (Where's Your Ed At) Not only are AI roll-outs are not showing improvements in productivity or reductions in costs, but there is currently no measures currently available to determine this.
• Scientists make sourdough bread using yeast found in 5,000-year-old mummy (The Guardian) Yeast, which probably infected the cadaver of Ötzi the Iceman postmortem.  Interesting, and a bit gross.
• ‘Ugly in a beautiful way’: Denmark’s mullet championship celebrates divisive hairstyle (The Guardian) Nope.  Nope.  Nope.
• A priceless book of Yiddish songs from the Holocaust lay in a Sydney cupboard for decades – now it has been rescued (The Guardian) Yiddish songs written by Holocaust Survivors.
• Graham Platner Won Maine by 50 Points. The Establishment Is Furious. Good. (Let's Address This) This is a good synopsis of how the Democratic Party establishment (There is no Democratic Party establishment) tried and failed to take Platner down.
• Trad Wives And Tate Bros: My Weekend With TPUSA's Submission Marketeers (National Memo) A reporter goes undercover, and reveals what the antediluvian right is saying to each other.  Spoiler: We have no common ground whatsoever.
• Judge Blocks National Parks From Removing ‘Negative’ Signs and Depictions of Slavery (New York Times) Trumps erasure of our history of slavery must be reversed by election day.

The best Mastercard commercial ever:

Headline of the Day

DEMOCRATS SHOULD TRY LANDING THE FIRST PUNCH

—No More Mister Nice Blog: No More Mister Nice Blog, saying that Democrats lose because when they engage in outreach to former Republican voters, they apologize instead of telling the truth about Republicans.

He is completely right.

I do not know why they do this, but it is like the bite of a dog into a stone, a stupidity. 

………

Waldman notes that this appears to be an ideal moment for Democrats to try to win over Americans who've been voting Republican but now think the country is going in the wrong direction. But Waldman doesn't agree with the approach recommended by centrist Democrats:

The professional centrists in the Democratic Party look at a moment like this one and say “Now those moderate voters will finally be open to our apology! We can go to them and say ‘We know you think we suck, and you’re right, we do suck, but we’re going to try to do better.’”

He's right. That's a terrible message. In broad outline, I agree with what Waldman recommends instead:

... Democrats have been lectured endlessly about how they need to apologize and listen to Trump voters so that they might make them feel more warmly toward Democrats, while barely anyone acknowledges how absolutely vital it is that they work to change how these voters feel about Republicans.

As Harry S Truman once said, "I never did give them hell. I just told the truth, and they thought it was hell."

Unfortunately, the Democratic Party establishment (There is no Democratic Party establishment) in general, and the consultants in particular, want to run milquetoast campaigns that are driven by fund raising, because they get a cut of the media buy.

Revealing Herself

Faced with a winnable race in the newly redistricted Florida, Debbie Wasserman Schultz decided instead to carpet-bag on the sole remaining majority minority district in the state, because, I guess, actually campaigning is too much of a chore.

Not long ago, it seemed like 2026 might be an epic comeback year for the Florida Democratic Party. Barely two months into President Trump’s second term, they gained ten points on their 2024 numbers in two North Florida special elections. Then Miami voted in a Democratic mayor for the first time in 30 years. And this March, the state House seat containing Mar-a-Lago and Jeffrey Epstein’s pedo palace down the street flipped blue, after Republicans had previously won the seat by nearly 20 points.

Trump’s approval ratings in the state hover in the low to mid-40s, as the DeSantis brand has gone into wind-down mode alongside the massive torture cage known as Alligator Alcatraz, into which the Trump and DeSantis administrations jointly disappeared thousands of migrants before authorities quietly decided $1.2 million a day was too costly, even for President Ballroom. A state that hasn’t elected a Democratic governor since Lawton Chiles won his fifth statewide race in 1994 has a gubernatorial candidate in former Republican congressman David Jolly, who has explicitly modeled his campaign after the publicity stunt that put Chiles on the map, in which the U.S. Senate candidate walked 1,000 miles from Pensacola to Key West in 1970, shaking hands and giving speeches about the problems and aspirations of the people he met along the way.

But then Debbie Wasserman Schultz announced she would be running for Congress to represent Florida’s 20th Congressional District, a dense parcel of central Broward County directly north of the district she currently represents. Gov. DeSantis’s last-minute gerrymandering gambit had divided her current district, the 25th, into the far corners of four new districts, none of which were the 20th, but the appeal to a political insider was obvious: The 20th contains the largest concentration of Democratic voters in the state.

The disincentive to run was equally obvious: The district was explicitly drawn back in 1991 to be a majority-Black district, in accordance with a provision of the Voting Rights Act that was just largely scrapped by the Supreme Court in a decision met with the universal condemnation of Democrats, mostly because it represented the latest gambit in a long campaign to gut the VRA and suppress the votes of low-income minorities. Ironically but predictably, the 20th survived the gerrymander demographically intact; as currently constructed, roughly half of its population is Black, a quarter is white, and about 65 percent are registered Democrats.

What on earth would possess lily-white Wasserman Schultz, who was warning about the Supreme Court plot to gut the VRA long before it was cool, to parachute into a race alongside four viable Black candidates, less than four months before the primary?

……… 

The real mystery, [Former Broward Mayor and candidate in the same district Dale] Holness claims, is why Wasserman Schultz would choose not to run in the district in which she actually lives, the new 22nd District, which voted for Trump by about nine points in 2024 but by even higher margins in favor of a ballot initiative enshrining the right to an abortion, and swung to Biden by three points in 2020. 

Because, even though running in her own district is safe, she feels entitled to a massively Gerrymandered seat so she will not have to break a sweat.

It's all about the self-entitlement that comes with being a senior member of the Democratic Party establishment (There is no Democratic Party establishment).

It's just careerist selfishness. 

Fasten Your Seatbelts. It’s Going to Be a Bumpy Ride

The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 1.1% in May.

I don't mean that it rose by a 1.2% annualized rate, I mean that the price numbers went up by 1.1% in a single month.  The same thing happened in April, so this is not a 1 month blip, and the 12 month PPI is up 6.5%. 

Prices charged by American producers continued to charge higher in May, the Labor Department said Thursday, marking another month of elevated wholesale inflation.

The producer-price index rose by 1.1% last month, following an equal increase in April. Analysts polled by The Wall Street Journal were expecting a 0.7% increase.

Over the past 12 months, the PPI is up by 6.5%, the fastest wholesale inflation since 2022.
Energy prices explained a good deal of the elevated trend, rising by more than 10% in May alone. But even excluding food, energy and trade-services categories, wholesale prices were up by 0.8%, a rapid one-month increase.

 The Fed is going to raise rates this week.

Finally

State Attorneys General in New York, Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island and Vermont are over payments made to French firm TotalEnergies to shut down their offshore wind projects.

New York’s attorney general is leading a lawsuit against the Trump administration to challenge its deal that put an end to a French energy company’s offshore wind projects.

As part of an agreement with the Trump administration, TotalEnergies said in March it would stop developing offshore wind projects in the U.S. and will instead invest in oil and gas production in the country. The government said the company would be paid $928 million—the value of its offshore wind leases—which would then be reinvested into oil and gas projects.

The lawsuit was filed on Tuesday in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia by attorneys general from New York, Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island and Vermont.

“We are fighting back to stop this illegal agreement that threatens to erase over a thousand union jobs and cheat millions of New Yorkers out of clean, affordable energy,” New York Attorney General Letitia James said.TotalEnergies has said it won’t pursue any further offshore wind leases in the U.S.

“This pay-not-to-play scheme pressuring a foreign company to forgo planned offshore wind projects in America in favor of gas and oil drilling is an outrageous abuse of taxpayer dollars that hurts our ability to meet our energy needs, create good jobs, and help secure American energy independence while reducing emissions,” New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said.

It should be noted that before the payment was made, Trump attempted to shut down the program through executive order, and when he lost in court, made it clear that he would continue harassing TotalEnergies, and then offered a payment for them to shut down the project.

This is protection racket gangster bullsh%$.

Nae True Scotsman?

The Ex-Husband of former Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has pled guilty to stealing hundreds of thousands of Pounds from political donations to the Scottish National Party.

The shocking thing is that he spent his much of his ill-gotten gains on the most mundane items, which has become a running gag in Scottish politics.

A political operative’s yearslong scheme to embezzle party funds has become a source of anger and embarrassment in Scotland, but not entirely for the reasons you might think.

What’s really galling to Scots is the culprit’s lack of ambition.

Among the items Peter Murrell purchased with the $500,000 of political donations he siphoned: two toilet seats, seven vacuum cleaners, a four-and-half pound jar of Nescafe Gold Blend, and 108 rolls of toilet paper.

“Who steals instant coffee?” said Brian McNeill, who works in financial services. “He makes us look like a nation of lightweights.”

Murrell, the Scottish National Party’s former chief executive, pleaded guilty last month to taking the £400,000. The plea might have closed a shameful chapter for the government as it pushes to secure Scotland’s independence from the rest of the U.K. Instead, the past few weeks have brought a torrent of ridicule on the 61-year-old fixer and his estranged wife, former Scottish first minister Nicola Sturgeon, as Scots sifted through the 627 individual items listed in court documents.

………

But there’s a longer list of mundane purchases that has sparked a debate about their relative dumbness. Some critics wondered why Murrell didn’t buy better stuff, like a Lamborghini or one of the cheaper Picassos.Many favor the $147 pencil sharpener as the worst offender. Some are partial to the three bird-feeders Murrell bought for $207. Others bemoaned the missed opportunities, wondering why Murrell couldn’t have gotten a Lamborghini or one of the cheaper Picassos. They all pondered what the items revealed about two people who dominated politics here for so long.

Sturgeon, who resigned ahead of Murrell’s arrest three years ago and now lives in London, denied any knowledge of her now-estranged husband’s spending habits, prompting former colleague Joanna Cherry to note her “remarkable lack of curiosity” about the robotic lawnmower and all the stuff being delivered to their home in Glasgow.

She knew.  The legal term for this is wilful blindness, and it makes her an accessory. 

Still, this does seem to be a particularly Scottish sort of scandal, at least on the spending side. 

Today in Fascism

Ice attempted to raid the offices of lawyers representing migrant children.

Of course they did this without any warrants.

Cops don't get to seize lawyers records, but they don't care, because they are little more than a heavily armed gang. 

Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents attempted to raid the offices of attorneys for unaccompanied migrant children this week, lawyers tell The Lever, the latest escalation in the Trump administration’s attempt to collect sensitive data on children in the U.S. immigration system.

As The Lever first reported last week, the legal services providers for unaccompanied migrant children — who represent the youth in deportation proceedings — have been locked in a standoff with the Trump administration over requests for sensitive case data on their clients.

Now, ICE agents are arriving at their doors.

Dozens of nonprofits and law firms around the country provide critical legal representation to migrant children under the Unaccompanied Children Program, which is funded by the Department of Health and Human Services. The program has become a central focus in the Trump administration’s ongoing targeting of immigrants.

………

Providing sensitive client data to the federal government could represent a serious violation of attorney-client privilege and put vulnerable children at risk, attorneys say. Already, the immigration courts are expediting children’s cases in an apparent attempt to deport children as fast as possible.

On Thursday, two agents with Homeland Security Investigations, the primary investigative arm of ICE and the Department of Homeland Security, arrived at the Washington, D.C., offices of the Amica Center for Immigrant Rights, which represents unaccompanied minors.

According to the organization’s executive director, Michael Lukens, security guards turned the agents away when they did not present a valid warrant.

 Calling these people, "Good Germans," gives them too much credit.

Have I Told You About the Time I Saw a Pink Elephant at Houston Hobby Airport?

It was contemporaneous with the 1992 Republican National Convention, and delegates were greeted at the gate by someone dressed in a pink elephant costume.

Well for the Texas Republican Convention, they brought in a live elephant, which pissed on the floor as Governor Abbott was finishing his speech to delegates.

This has to be a metaphor for something.

An African elephant weighing roughly 4 tons that was brought to the Texas Republican party’s annual convention to excite attenders ended up drawing widespread attention for the wrong reasons after she urinated on the convention floor and became the focus of animal welfare concerns.

Inside the George R Brown convention center in Houston on Friday, attenders had been told to prepare for a “larger-than-life surprise” after governor Greg Abbott finished his keynote speech. Organizers also displayed a message asking people to keep the aisles clear.

Shortly after Abbott concluded his remarks, Paige, an African elephant, entered the convention hall adorned with a large campaign-themed banner. As Paige moved through the venue, she suddenly halted and relieved herself, according to videos shared online.

Given the proclivities of Republicans, I am surprised that a fight did not break out for the opportunity of one of them to get underneath the elephant at the time.

Governor Abbott closed out his speech at the Texas GOP convention with a live elephant. It then peed on the floor as it left the room.

The perfect metaphor for the Texas Republican Party. pic.twitter.com/mbOH6ERqDq

— Texas Democratic Party (@texasdemocrats) June 12, 2026

Still Sucks

I am, of course, referring to the consumer confidence numbers, which rose marginally but remain close to last month's all time low.

We are in a recession.

Consumer sentiment improved to begin June, according to the University of Michigan’s monthly survey, as a retreat in gasoline prices boosted Americans’ economic spirits.

The Michigan consumer-sentiment index bounced off its all-time low set in May to rise to 48.9 in the initial June reading, from 44.8 a month earlier. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had been expecting a reading of 46.

A final June figure will be published later this month, based on additional interviews.
“Lower-income consumers exhibited a particularly strong sentiment increase, consistent with the fact that gasoline comprises a larger share of their budgets,” said Joanne Hsu, the survey’s director. She said sentiment overall remains downbeat, with concerns focused on a recent pickup in inflation.

 

Gee, Fascism Much?

Kash Patel's FBI just raided an Ohio group dedicated to helping minorities vote on bogus allegations of voting fraud. 

This is a clear attempt to intimidate minority voters.

FBI agents on Thursday fanned out across the state carrying out a raid and questioning employees of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, a voting rights organization, a board member said.

Prentiss Haney said agents raided the organization’s Cleveland office, and more than 100 agents showed up at current and former employees’ homes. He said agents seized electronic devices including phones and computers. Agents had a search warrant for the raid on the Cleveland office, he said.

Haney said agents asked questions revolving around voter fraud, a false claim repeatedly pushed by President Donald Trump and administration officials that U.S. elections are rigged.

“It’s actually about voter intimidation and political intimidation,” Haney said. “They came in like mob bosses to scare people from engaging in democratic participation.”

If (hopefully when) the worm turns, a lot of people need to see the inside of a court for stuff like this.

I'll Believe It When I See It

So, we have yet another report of a deal to end the US-Iran War.

I won't believe it until the ink is dry.

Donald Trump has claimed a deal well over a dozen times in the past few months, so the White House's credibility is below that of the Tooth Fairy.

With a draft deal between the United States and Iran now on the table, speculation has been swirling about exactly what is in the agreement.

President Trump insisted on Friday that reports circulating about details of the proposed deal were incorrect. In a post on social media, he said the terms “Iran leaked” to the media “have NOTHING to do with the terms that were agreed to, in writing.”

There were conflicting accounts of the deal in Iranian media, with one hard-line news outlet reporting terms more favorable to Iran and the state news agency providing a more measured description. On Friday, Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said that a deal “has never been closer,” but added that “the media should refrain from entering speculation about its content.”

Much about the emerging deal remains murky, with both sides keen to frame it as a victory. What is known is that a “memorandum of understanding” between the two sides is under discussion.

I do not see any way that a deal that is acceptable to Iran could be cast as a victor for the United States, since the Iranian government, for very good reason, does not believe that the United States can be trusted to keep its end of the bargain.

As such, I think that any deal that would be signed would necessarily include a removal of sanctions, a repatriation of frozen Iranian assets from the US, and a redeployment of US forces out of the region.

I do not believe that (even with the horrible US press corps) that this could be sold as a victory, and Trump is terrified of being seen a loser.

Then again, what do I know. 

 

This Was Inevitable

The French and German future fighter project has been shut down over disputes over workshare.

This is not a surprise.  Dassault has always insisted on having complete control of so-called, "Joint," projects, with its partners getting little beyond serving as the program's banker.

One need only look at the two modern examples of cross border aviation projects that actually reached production, the SEPECAT Jaguar, (A joint venture of Breuget and  British Aircraft Corporation) and the Concorde. (A joint venture of Sud Aviation and British Aircraft Corporation)

You will notice that the Dassault had no part in any of this.

More than 40 years after France withdrew from the Future European Fighter Aircraft program, Paris and Berlin have called it quits on their effort to work on a sixth-generation combat aircraft in a partnership also involving Spain.

………

Dassault, which was the industrial lead on the fighter program, a year ago voiced displeasure with the program’s structure. The company said it lacked sufficient control and wanted change. That set off months of industrial bickering. The issue came to a head with a new phase of the development program that was due to start in October.

………

Geopolitics also collided with the FCAS. When the governments shook hands, their ambition to develop a fighter was more an industrial and jobs undertaking than a military necessity. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 drove a change in mindset, making defense more central to French and German motivations. That also crystallized requirements differences. France needs a fighter that is carrier-capable and can deliver nuclear weapons. Germany does not.

………

Fighter requirements are likely to be reset. Germany and Spain are no longer driven to shoehorn their needs into those of France, which were constrained by carrier compatibility. Throughout the program, Dassault and Airbus concept drawings for the fighter differed, suggesting the gap in requirements definition.

………

When an Anglo-French project to develop a variable-geometry combat aircraft failed in the 1960s after Paris pulled out, London pursued a program with Germany and Italy that ultimately produced the Panavia Tornado. The French withdrawal from the pan-European Future European Fighter Aircraft came two decades later, birthing the Rafale on one side and the Eurofighter Typhoon on the other. In the 2010s, Paris and London explored development of an uncrewed combat air vehicle. The two split when the UK voted to leave the EU, spurring France and Germany to explore the FCAS instead.

Rather unsurprisingly, Germany is working with Spain to resurrect the program.

In a significant development for Europe’s future air combat ambitions, Airbus is trying to restart the program to develop a sixth-generation combat jet, now under German and Spanish leadership. This comes less than a week after the Franco-German-led New Generation Fighter (NGF) effort effectively collapsed in its original form, amid acrimony between Paris and Berlin. The NGF was planned as the crewed centerpiece of the pan-European Future Combat Air System (FCAS), which Airbus, as the leading European aerospace corporation, now hopes to get back on track.  

Partnering with Dassault on a fighter project is a losing proposition. 

Na-Na-Na-Na, Na-Na-Na-Na, Hey, Hey, Hey, Goodbye

Donald Trump’s name is being removed from the Kennedy Center right now

Via @DCNewsNow pic.twitter.com/2gjJnoj5zW

— WABJ - Washington Association of Black Journalists (@WABJDC) June 12, 2026

As you can see above, workers are removing Donald Trump's name from the Kennedy Center.

Sweet. 

I wish that I had known about it ahead of time, I would have gone down and sung. 

We Are F%$#ed

The worst El Niño in decades has officially arrived.

Clearly, anthropogenic climate change is a myth.

After months of anticipation, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) officially declared the onset of El Niño today. It could become one of the strongest El Niño events in history.

According to the agency, there is now a 63% chance of El Niño intensifying to “very strong” status between November and January, potentially ranking among the largest events in the historical record going back to 1950. Extreme climate and weather impacts are more likely to occur during stronger El Niños. Over the past several weeks, meteorologists have warned that this event could lead to record-shattering temperatures, supercharged storms, regional droughts, wildfires, or floods, and global food shortages.

A so-called “super” El Niño would also have major implications for the climate crisis. “Starting soon all months will be the warmest on record once El Niño kicks into high gear,” Jeff Berardelli, chief meteorologist and climate specialist for WFLA Tampa Bay, posted on X yesterday. “Biggest impacts on global temp will be later this year into next year. It will set a new precedent… for a couple of years… until it’s broken again.”

Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was.

………

Human-caused climate change will add a layer of complexity to the 2026-2027 El Niño. As carbon emissions have continued to crank up Earth’s temperature, it’s become increasingly difficult for meteorologists to separate the affects of anthropogenic warming from the natural climate variation of ENSO, meteorologist Ben Noll explains in an article for the Washington Post. 

To address that problem, NOAA and other agencies now use a climate change-adjusted El Niño index called the Relative Oceanic Niño index, or RONI. According to that index, sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific during this El Niño will get an additional boost of 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit (0.5 degrees Celsius) from climate change, Noll reports.

Even without factoring in climate change, models are predicting a potentially historic Pacific warmup. According to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the ensemble shows sea surface temperatures rising up to 6.8 degrees F (3.8 degrees C) above average by December. That’s well into “super” El Niño territory.

This is going to be grim,  

It's Thursday ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Both initial and continuing unemployment claims rose last week, initial claims from 225,000 to 229,000, (highest since February) and continuing claims rose from 1.780 million to 1.795 million claims.

Not awful, but not good either. 

US initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose to the highest since February, potentially reflecting the usual volatility around school summer breaks and holidays.

Initial claims increased by 4,000 to 229,000 in the week ended June 6, according to Labor Department data released Thursday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for 220,000 applications.

Continuing claims, a proxy for the number of people receiving benefits, also rose, to 1.8 million in the previous week.

This is not enough for the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates next week.

Headline of the Day

Trump Phone Has HTC Guts. Tremendous Guts. The Best Guts.

The Register, noting that the Trump Phone is just a reskinned HTC U24 Pro.

Gee, the next thing that you will tell me is that Trump University was a scam. Hoocoodanode?

It won't be making smartphones great again. The long-awaited Trump-branded smartphone has finally arrived, and it appears to be exactly what many suspected: an existing handset in gold drag.

Repair biz iFixit got its hands on the Trump Mobile T1 after the device became available in May, and its teardown found the model is essentially an HTC U24 Pro with cosmetic tweaks and a Trump-friendly gold finish.

It was almost exactly a year ago that the Trump Organization unveiled the Trump Mobile cellular service and heralded the coming of the T1 Phone, described as "a sleek, gold smartphone engineered for performance and proudly designed and built in the United States."

………

In other words, it's a fairly unremarkable smartphone, sprayed gold and marketed to Trump fans for a promotional price of $499. To be fair, as iFixit makes clear, this is not a bad price for a device like this, so aureate wannabes are not being overcharged here. 

Meanwhile, In the Persian Gulf

So, it appears that an Iranian drone took down an Apache helicopter and Trump launched retaliatory attacks on Iran, including strikes on at least two reservoirs, (Yes this is a war crime according to black letter international law) and then Iran responded by striking US bases and US related infrastructure among Gulf nations.

A US Army helicopter gunship was apparently struck by an Iranian Shahed drone before going down near the Strait of Hormuz—but it’s unclear whether the one-way attack drone was deliberately aimed or achieved more of a lucky accidental strike.

Axios correspondent Barak Ravid first reported an unnamed US government official’s comments that an Iranian drone had hit the US Army AH-64 Apache helicopter before the latter went down on June 8. The New York Times later confirmed that reporting through more anonymous US officials, including one official who said US military investigators were still evaluating whether the Iranian drone strike on the helicopter was intentional or accidental.

………

The basic models of Iranian Shahed drones rely on GPS satellite guidance and preprogrammed coordinates to strike stationary targets from long range and are not usually designed to track and strike moving targets, said Mark Cancian, a senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think tank based in Washington, DC, in an interview with The New York Times. But he suggested that Iran may have received newer Russian-modified Shahed drones that can be remotely operated to strike targets in motion.

Whatever the case, the result is that an Iranian drone that usually costs about $35,000 managed to take down a US Army helicopter with a price tag of $25 million. The only silver lining for the US military was its successful rescue of both helicopter crew members from the water due to the unprecedented use of a drone boat.

………

Trump was initially inclined to shrug off the Apache helicopter’s downing after the pilots were rescued, according to The Wall Street Journal. But the president apparently changed his mind during a White House briefing when both Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine “recommended military action” and shared more details about the Iranian Shahed drone striking the US helicopter.

The strikes from US fighter jets targeted Iranian air defense, ground control stations, and surveillance radar sites near the Strait of Hormuz, according to the US Central Command press release. But Iran’s state broadcaster claimed the US military strikes also damaged water tanks and cut off the water supply for at least 20,000 people in Hormozgan province.

Iran also retaliated by launching yet another round of Iranian missile and drone attacks against Gulf countries such as Bahrain and Kuwait, along with Jordan, according to The New York Times. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an Iranian paramilitary force, said it had targeted US bases in the region, including the US Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain, while claiming to shoot down yet another US MQ-9 Reaper drone.

More on the strikes on the reservoirs: (Also see the mealy mouthed confirmation from what Atrios calls that f%$#ing paper)

The United States and Iran engaged in some of the most intense fighting overnight since all-out hostilities in the ongoing US‑Israeli war on Iran were halted with a Pakistan‑mediated temporary ceasefire on April 8.

A comprehensive peace agreement remains elusive as Iran and the US have exchanged a series of proposals and counterproposals in the weeks since that pause. After a string of smaller escalations, however, the US struck targets in Iran following the downing of a US Apache helicopter close to the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, and Iran retaliated by hitting US military bases in the Gulf.

The US military said it targeted communications and radar facilities. Iranian officials, however, said civilian infrastructure was also damaged, including two water reservoirs.

If correct, this is the first reported strike on civilian infrastructure in Iran in several weeks, but it comes at a time when Iran is facing a severe water shortage.

Yeah, US military has forsworn attacks on civilian infrastructure for a few weeks, what sweethearts.

And Trump provides yet more evidence that he's senile or profoundly stupid:

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said he was "shocked" that Iran attacked neighboring Gulf states in retaliation to U.S. and Israeli strikes, insisting that nobody could have predicted such a response.

"They weren't supposed to go after all these other countries in the Middle East. So they hit Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait. Nobody expected that. We were shocked," Trump said at a White House event.

He doubled down hours later, stating that "the UAE is like the banker for Iran. Qatar, they are neighbors and got along okay. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain. No expert would say that's gonna happen. It's not a question of 'gee should you have known' - and if we did, big deal. We have to do what we have to do," he said in the Oval Office.

In reality, many experts have long warned that Iran was willing and prepared to strike these countries. Iran itself further warned explicitly that neighboring states hosting U.S. military bases could be targeted as part of its deterrence strategy.

I wonder how much longer they can to maintain this façade, because world inventories of oil and other distillates have fallen off of a cliff.

Even if the Strait of Hormuz were to open tomorrow, these inventories would take about 6 weeks to see new oil.

I honestly expect to see 1973-style gas lines in the United States.

The Big One

There are indications that the San Andreas and related faults have unprecedentedly high stress levels, raising concerns that a 7+ earthquake is due sooner and not later in the area.

Having had been in 2 earthquakes, and remembering one (I was less than 2 years old for the first one), I really hope that is not going to be as bad as it looks.

Earthquakes usually occur along fracture zones in Earth's crust, where large tectonic plates slide past one another and become locked. Stress builds up over long periods and is suddenly released in the form of an earthquake. In Southern California, the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults are among the most significant of these zones, accommodating most of the plate motion in the region.

Where the two fault systems approach each other northeast of Los Angeles lies the Cajon Pass—a tectonically complex junction where a rupture on one fault could potentially cross onto the other. Since the last major earthquake to affect the wider Los Angeles region, the Fort Tejon earthquake of 1857, with a magnitude of 7.9, tectonic stress along the fault segments has built up continuously during a prolonged quiet period that has long concerned researchers, given the potential for a large future rupture.

In a new study led by Dr. Liliane Burkhard of the Division of Space Research and Planetary Sciences (WP) at the Physics Institute of the University of Bern, an international research team modeled 1,000 years of earthquake history along the southern San Andreas and San Jacinto fault systems to estimate the present-day stress loading at Cajon Pass. Researchers from the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, the U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Science Center in Pasadena, and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego were involved.

The results show that tectonic stresses in the region have reached and, in some cases, exceeded the highest levels of the last millennium.

In the study, the researchers also introduced the concept of Cajon Pass as an "earthquake gate," a junction that controls whether large earthquakes remain confined to a single fault or propagate across both systems simultaneously. The study has just been published in Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth.

There are indications that stress is high in both the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults, meaning that there is an elevated chance of both faults rupturing at the same time.

Not good, but still better than Donald Trump. 

114%

That is how overpriced the SpaceX IPO is according to a Morningstar analysis reported by that Commie rag the Financial Times. (They ain't called th, Pink Paper," for nothing.)

My guess is that even an analysis stating that IPO is overvalued by 114% will be shown by reality to be over optimistic.

………

Their headline findings are:

• The stock’s probably worth $63 per share, a 53 per cent discount to the $135 issue price.
• SpaceX probably has an addressable market of about $129bn, rather than the $1.6tn claimed in its S-1 filing.
• In a (metaphorical) moonshot scenario, where SpaceX pioneers orbital data centres and captures 20 per cent of AI computing capacity by 2040, the company would be worth $1.97tn, or $154 per share.
• Morningstar assigns only a 7 per cent per cent chance of the moonshot scenario happening.
• For Starlink, Morningstar estimates the global market to be worth about $129bn, which is rather less SpaceX’s estimate of $1.6tn. “[T]echnical constraints and unit economics limit the business primarily to lower-density markets,” it says.
• Here’s a link to the full note on SpaceX valuation, and here’s its note on Starlink market sizing. Space cadets and attached bankers, do please tell us in the comments what Morningstar gets wrong.

Look out below.

How About That Economy?

Inflation just spiked to 4.2%.

I think that Trump's new nominee for Fed Chair is going to be forced to raise rates at the next meeting.

Inflation crossed 4 percent for the first time in three years in May, exacerbating Americans’ pain at the pump and dealing a fresh political blow to the White House, as the Iran war’s toll on consumers shows no sign of abating.

The Labor Department’s consumer price index rose at a 4.2 percent annual pace in the year ending in May, up from 3.8 percent in April with higher energy prices again accounting for much of the monthly gain. 

Gas prices, which have surged roughly 50 percent since January as the Iran conflict disrupts oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, rose 7 percent in May. The reading marks the third consecutive month in which the conflict has measurably pushed prices higher for American consumers.

………

Trump shrugged off the report hours after its release, delivering a line sure to be featured in Democratic attack ads around the midterm elections this fall: “I love the inflation,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office Wednesday.

That response from Trump is totally mental.

One does wonder what is going to happen when we finally run to the end of petroleum and natural gas stockpiles.  

We may see 1973 style gas lines. 

Tech Bros Not Thinking Things Through

Generally, when a story starts with, "A German court ruled," you should expect bad news.

Not this time.

This time, a court in Munich has ruled that Google can be held liable false AI generated summaries.

Potentially impacting all AI search engines and chatbots known to poorly paraphrase source links, a German court has ruled that Google is liable for false statements in AI Overviews.

The preliminary ruling came in a case flagged by The Decoder, where two publishers found that Google’s AI Overviews incorrectly linked them to scams and other sketchy business practices. After smearing publishers by making affirmative statements like “Yes, [it] is known for dubious business practices and is often perceived as a scam,” Google failed to correct the misleading output, even after the publishers sent a cease-and-desist letter earlier this year.

Google tried the usual arguments to shield itself from liability for false statements in AI Overviews, such as arguing that most users understand that AI outputs aren’t always accurate and must be verified.

But the court found that, unlike traditional search engines that merely present lists of links to third-party statements, Google’s tool made “independent, new, and substantive statements” based on its own misinterpretation of links on the Internet.

That’s a problem, the court said, because while publishers may have been able to sue to stop third parties from publishing defamatory statements appearing in Google search results, only Google can correct the underlying algorithm and outputs displayed in AI Overviews. And because, at least initially, the company did not, it therefore “must be held accountable,” the court ruled. Beyond that, Google’s argument was deemed particularly weak, since the AI overview in this case “contains statements that do not appear in the search results at all.”

Google's AI generated content is Google generated content, just the same as if one of their flesh and blood employees drafted and published this.

The ruling is sound, which makes it an outlier for a German court, and it is just, which also makes it an outlier for a German court.

Part of the allure of AI systems is the belief that they subvert accountability for the company that uses them. 

Not so much. 

Linkage

• DC Library holds taking forever? You're not alone. (51st News) Baker & Taylor, the largest book distributor to libraries in the United States, has gone bankrupt.
• Institutional Rot And The Death Rattle Of America (Off Message) Money quote, "Republican politics has become like Jackass, where degeneracy is a contest, and they applaud one another for new innovations in the field. They revel in vice. They go to the cameras, compete to tell the most outlandish lies, then pat each other on the back like players celebrating in the dugout." 
• No one wants a permanent gerontocracy (Cory Doctorow) The URL reads, "It's not OK, Boomer." :Public office should not be elder care.
• Real-life Snuffleupagus found swimming in the Great Barrier Reef  (Popular Science) The similarity is striking.
• CEO Receives Violent Threats After Kicking Off AI Layoffs (Futurism) Afflicting the comfortable is a good thing.
• Crypto Security Pioneer: 'I Now Consider All of DeFi Unsafe’ (Gizmodo) DeFi = decentralized finance, i.e. crypto and its bastard children.  There is a reason that it took over 1,000 years for our financial system to mature.  This is not easy stuff.
• Inference Is Unlikely to Ever Be a Low Marginal Cost Operational Node (Brad Delong) By, "Inference," Delong means large language model AI.
• github and the crime against software (Efron Licht) A good summary of the enshittification of Github as a result of Microsoft's neglect and efforts to add AI to everything.
• Elephant declines could trigger wider ecosystem losses in African savannas, 15-year test shows (Phys.org) much like beavers, they are a cornerstone to the ecologies of the areas where they live.
• If It Walks Like a Bubble and Quacks Like a Bubble, Then It’s Probably a Bubble (Barron's) On SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.  I think that they are wrong.  This is not a bubble, it is a bezzle, a yet unrecognized fraud.
• Free, Easy, Dead: The Difficult Birth And Predictable Death Of IRS Direct File (Defector) A good program that helped people, but the people that it helped did not have lobbyists.

Trump goes to game 3 of the NBA finals, gets booed:

Primaries Tonight

The quick summary is tonight's results is notwithstanding the best efforts of the Democratic Party establishment (There is no Democratic Party establishment) and the New York Times, Graham Platner is now the official party nominee, getting more than ¾ of the vote, and soon to be former Congresswoman Nancy Mace came in a very distant 5th place in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial primary.

One wonders just how egregiously the Democratic Party establishment (There is no Democratic Party establishment) will ignore the whole, "Vote blue no matter who," mantra in Platner's case.

Criminals Gotta Crime

And by criminals, I mean the criminal enterprise formerly known as Facebook™, who just got caught surreptitiously installing facial recognition software on their smart glasses.

Seeing as how they did not announce this to their users, it would have been a selling point, it is not unreasonable to assume that this was for Meta to spy on its users.

Hell, everything in Meta is about spying on its users.

One day after WIRED revealed that Meta had quietly embedded an unreleased face-recognition system into an app installed on more than 50 million phones, the company removed it, according to a WIRED analysis of the latest version’s code.

The most recent version of Meta AI, a companion app for its line of smart glasses, strips out the unactivated software components that powered the system Meta internally called NameTag. The version published the day of WIRED’s report included several code libraries explicitly named for face recognition. Friday’s release includes none of them.

Andy Stone, Meta's vice president of communications, told WIRED on Monday that the feature is purely exploratory, adding: “No final decision has been made on what to do here, if anything.”

On Thursday, WIRED reported that Meta had quietly integrated substantial portions of the NameTag system into the Meta AI app. Though never publicly enabled, the feature was designed to convert faces captured by the glasses into unique biometric signatures, commonly known as faceprints, and compare them against a database of faceprints stored on the user's device. WIRED also found that faces the system failed to recognize were cropped, indexed, and stored locally for future processing.

Well, this seems completely aboveboard and not suspicious at all.