In any other line of work, the driving philosophy of tech startups would be
better defined as fraud.
As we saw with Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos, this is basically fraud premised
on the idea with a sprinkling of fairy dust (or VC funding) you can actually
make something that resembles an ongoing business.
The thing is, when you are dealing with meat space, things like diagnostic
tests (Theranos) or military autonomous drones simply do not work.
When defense procurement wonks say that systems should be developed on the
Silly-Con Valley model, they miss this.
In this case, I am referring to Anduril, a company that is aggressively
selling autonomous autonomous vehicles with little success.
The company founder, Palmer Luckey, made his money by creating VR goggles
company Oculus (borrowing tech from another company) and then selling out to
Facebook, who wanted the technology for their incredibly abortive foray into
the, "Metaverse."
How this makes him qualified for anything beyond technology hype is beyond me,
as the string of failures of his company projects show. (Actually, I do
know how this makes him qualified, he has been a Donald Trump supporter since
at least 2016)
The Navy was attempting to launch and recover more than 30 drone boats from a
combat ship off the coast of California in May when more than a dozen of the
uncrewed vessels failed to carry out their missions. The boats had rejected
their inputs and automatically idled as a fail-safe, making them “dead” in the
water.
The botched experiment quickly became a potential hazard to other vessels in
the exercise. Military personnel scrambled overnight to clean up the mess,
towing the boats to shore until 9 a.m. the next day.
The drone boats were relying on autonomy software called Lattice, made by
California-based Anduril Industries. The Navy said the exercise was handled
safely, but the incident alarmed Navy personnel, who said in a routine
follow-up report that company representatives had misguided the military. In
comments that were unusual for such a report, which was viewed by The Wall
Street Journal, four sailors warned of “continuous operational security
violations, safety violations, and contracting performer misguidances (Anduril
Industries).” If the software configuration wasn’t immediately corrected and
vetted, they wrote, there would be “extreme risk to force and potential for
loss of life.”
(emphasis mine)
BTW, this behavior is classic, "Fake it till you make it."
Since its founding in 2017, Anduril Industries has become one of the hottest
companies in a crowded field of defense-tech startups, promising to deliver
hardware and software that will usher in a new era of autonomous warfare and
equip the U.S. military with the speed that only a startup can offer. The
privately held company was valued at more than $30 billion in its last funding
round and has scored
an impressive number of military contracts
to build prototypes of everything from unmanned jet fighters to
mixed-reality headsets
to battlefield-management systems.
Yeah, this is gonna end well.
………
The startup’s fast-moving approach comes with its share of setbacks—during
closed military exercises, at private drone ranges and even on the battlefield
in Ukraine.
In California, a mechanical issue damaged the engine in Anduril’s unmanned jet
fighter Fury in a ground test over the summer ahead of a critical first flight
for the Air Force. In August, a test involving its Anvil counterdrone system
caused a 22-acre fire in Oregon. And in the exercises with unmanned boats over
the summer off the coast of California, Anduril’s Lattice software struggled
to command and control vessels.
Anduril’s only real battlefield experience—in Ukraine—has been marred by
problems as well, including vulnerability to enemy jamming, according to
former employees and others familiar with the systems in Ukraine. Some
front-line soldiers of Ukraine’s SBU security service, for instance, found
that their Altius loitering drones crashed and failed to hit their targets.
The drones were so problematic that they stopped using them in 2024 and
haven’t fielded them since, according to people familiar with the matter.
That the Ukrainians were unwilling to continue to use the drones is telling. They are grabbing onto any system that works at all, but Andruil's crap was below the level of their desparation.
To quote Richard Feynmann, "For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled."
As an FYI, Feynmann's quote comes from the last line of his report on the Space Shuttle Challenger explosion. He was commenting on how NASA (and the rest of the investigation board) was choosing public relations over the reality behind the accident.