20 March 2008

Economics Update

Jobless claims
378,000, up 22K from the previous week, and the leading economic indicators fell for the 5th straight month by 0.3%.

Oil dropped nearly $4.00/bbl, and the dollar is up versus the Euro.

These are both driven by what is seen as reduced demand for oil, and a rate cut from the Fed which was around 25 basis points (0.25%) less than expected.

Still, it does not appear that the banks are optimistic Citi is looking to cut 2,000 jobs in their securities division (investment banking and trading). This is in addition to the 4k announced in January.

Just to remind you, it's not just sub-prime, as Alt-A delinquencies and foreclosures are spiking too, and are trashing the related mortgage backed securities.

Finally, the Federal Reserve continues its extended bout of anilingus with the brokerage houses, making $75 billion in treasury securities available to investment banks.

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