18 December 2009

Economics Update

Well, someone sliced and diced the numbers, and the unemployment picture continues to improve, with unemployment dropping in 36 States in November, though this U3, and not the more expansive, and to my mind more accurate U6.

We are also seeing a marked improvement in German business confidence this month.

In real estate, we have another shoe dropping, with Moody’s Investors Service stating its intend to review $143 billion in residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) with an eye toward downgrading them, because their loss rates have continued to climb.

In currency and energy, the reversed the past few days' course, with oil rising, and the dollar weakening, but these may just be traders unwinding positions that they accumulated over the past week.

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