14 May 2009

Economics Update

So, initial jobless claims rose 32,000 637,000 (seasonally adjusted) worse than expected, the four-week moving average rose by 6,000 to 630,500, and continuing claims rose by 202,000 to a record 6.56 million.

Meanwhile producer prices rose unexpectedly by 0.3%, indicating that, perhaps, the inflation genie is not as firmly in the bottle as one would hope.

Meanwhile, in real estate, office rents in London have fallen to 1991 levels, as a combination of overbuilding and the implosion of "The City", the UK Wall Street have driven down rents.

We are seeing the same thing in retail space, with rents falling and concessions increasing, at such high profile locations as Rodeo Drive, 5th Avenue, Bond Street, and the Champs Elysees.

It's no wonder then, that commercial and multi-residential mortgage loan originations have fallen sharply. (top pic)

Also, the HousingWire has a good picture on the surge in foreclosures that I noted yesterday. (bottom pic)

Neanwhile, energy and the dollar seem to be at odds with each other, with oil up today, it appears on the belief of a recovery, and the dollar also up, on economic insecurity.

Go figure.

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