24 June 2008

Economics Update

Consumer confidence plunges to the 5th lowest level ever, 50.4, as opposed to the predicted 57, from 58.1 last month.

Considering that home prices are down yet again, this time the Case-Shiller index was down 1.4% from March, and 15.3% year over year, it's natural that people won't feel confident.

These numbers spooked the currency markets too, with the dollar trending down.

Oil prices are up again, largely because of concerns of instability in Nigeria, though retail gas prices are down $0.003 from yesterday.

And just in case you are wondering, energy inflation is hitting prices more generally, with Dow Chemical raising prices 25%, even though it raised prices 20% last month, and UPDATE: Lowe's is seeing "unprecedented" price hikes from its suppliers.

Stagflation, here we come.

As to the "stag" part, the fact that Toyota is scaling back its sales goals because of weakness in the economy, even though there are are months long waiting lists for the Prius, would indicate that no one is making good sales right now.

In the interest of fairness though, there are reports that Toyota is cutting back on Prius shipments to the US, because they can get more money in Europe.

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