We Are F%$#ed

The worst El Niño in decades has officially arrived.

Clearly, anthropogenic climate change is a myth.

After months of anticipation, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) officially declared the onset of El Niño today. It could become one of the strongest El Niño events in history.

According to the agency, there is now a 63% chance of El Niño intensifying to “very strong” status between November and January, potentially ranking among the largest events in the historical record going back to 1950. Extreme climate and weather impacts are more likely to occur during stronger El Niños. Over the past several weeks, meteorologists have warned that this event could lead to record-shattering temperatures, supercharged storms, regional droughts, wildfires, or floods, and global food shortages.

A so-called “super” El Niño would also have major implications for the climate crisis. “Starting soon all months will be the warmest on record once El Niño kicks into high gear,” Jeff Berardelli, chief meteorologist and climate specialist for WFLA Tampa Bay, posted on X yesterday. “Biggest impacts on global temp will be later this year into next year. It will set a new precedent… for a couple of years… until it’s broken again.”

Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was,
Same as it ever was.

………

Human-caused climate change will add a layer of complexity to the 2026-2027 El Niño. As carbon emissions have continued to crank up Earth’s temperature, it’s become increasingly difficult for meteorologists to separate the affects of anthropogenic warming from the natural climate variation of ENSO, meteorologist Ben Noll explains in an article for the Washington Post. 

To address that problem, NOAA and other agencies now use a climate change-adjusted El Niño index called the Relative Oceanic Niño index, or RONI. According to that index, sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific during this El Niño will get an additional boost of 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit (0.5 degrees Celsius) from climate change, Noll reports.

Even without factoring in climate change, models are predicting a potentially historic Pacific warmup. According to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the ensemble shows sea surface temperatures rising up to 6.8 degrees F (3.8 degrees C) above average by December. That’s well into “super” El Niño territory.

This is going to be grim,