17 October 2022

Something is Going Down

I do not know what is going on, but the Chinese Foreign Ministry is urging Chinese nationals to evacuate the Ukraine immediately.  A natural conclusion is that some sort of balloon is about to go up in the war there:

Some Chinese nationals still in Ukraine have signed up for evacuation from the country, with most registering for organized evacuations, while others are preparing to leave Ukraine on their own, the Global Times learned on Sunday, after the Chinese Foreign Ministry urged Chinese citizens to leave Ukraine, citing the grave security situation.

The move, following the large-scale evacuation in March that safely returned some 6,000 Chinese nationals in Ukraine back to their motherland, represents the Chinese government's greatest efforts to protect its citizens, as the Russia-Ukraine conflict further escalated, experts noted. 

………

In a notice issued on Saturday, the Chinese Foreign Ministry said that given the grave security situation in Ukraine, it calls upon Chinese nationals still in the country to strengthen security precautions and evacuate the country. The Chinese embassy will assist the organization of evacuation for those in need, the notice said, while urging them to register their personal information to the embassy as soon as possible.

Later on Saturday, the Chinese Embassy in Ukraine said via its WeChat account that it will offer assistance and help coordinate relevant evacuation matters such as emergency document processing.

The bureaucrats are expediting things, and this is never a sign of a stable situation.

My guess is that Moscow communicated with Beijing and suggested that now is a good time to leave.

What this means specifically, I have no clue about.

2 comments :

Quasit said...

So am I the only one who immediately thought "nuke"?

Matthew Saroff said...

Unlikely. Before the past month, the Russians were far less likely to hit civilian power and communications infrastructure than, for example, the United States in its operations in Iraq, Afghanistan, etc.

I think that it is just a greater broadening of the war, hitting infrastructure more broadly, and the Chinese are worried about their citizens freezing in the dark.

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