28 February 2022

The Next Domino to Fall in the Ukraine Conflict


Where will the next uprising be?
It won't be in the Ukraine, nor will it be in Moscow.

With food prices already increasing, as the attached chart show, we can expect to see profound hunger issues around the world, and likely significant unrest as a result.

The abortive "Arab Spring" has a spike in the prices of food staples as a major contributor, and unrest in response to hunger is a very common response, at least in the urban areas.

Note also, it's not just the countries on the right that will be effected by this, because the food markets these days are international, and given the increasing concentration in agriculture, it is likely that as prices spike, much of the food will be diverted to wealthier nations.

This is a recipe for disaster.

2 comments :

Stephen Montsaroff said...

This means we should ask Ukraine to capitulate, yes?

Matthew Saroff said...

No, this means that we should anticipate disruption and food riots as a result of this.

This has nothing to do with the prosecution of the conflict, it has to do with foreseeable consequences that should be prepared for.

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