22 January 2009

Economics Update

The weekly new claims for unemployment jumped last week by 62,000 last week, to 589,000, the highest level since 1982, and more than predictions.

The 4 week average was flat, and continuing claims were worse than predictions too, at 4.607 million.

If that weren't enough housing starts fell by 15.5% to 550,000, which, according to Calculated Risk,is, "by far the lowest level since the Census Bureau began tracking housing starts in 1959."

Mortgage applications fell by 9.8% last week, because interest rates bumped by 0.37%, and most of the action right now is ReFi.

Over in Asia, the Bank of Japan is buying corporate bonds, because the credits markets have frozen there, and China's economic growth fell to a 7 year low for the 4th quarter.

Meanwhile, it looks like the humongous loss phenomenon is moving from the banking giants to the regional banks, which may have a larger effect on business output, since they do a lot less of the high finance and a lot more lending to mom and pop businesses.

In commodities, steel production fell 1.2% in 2008, the first annual drop in a decade, while oil was up a few pennies today.

In currencies the dollar was down vs. the Euro and Yen, but up against the Pound...but then again, everything is up against the pound.

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