Iowa Update 9:51 pm

Called for Obama by MSNBC, CNN and NY Times.

The only real race now is the race for 2nd in the Dem caucuses, with Edwards having a slight lead.

So, Once again, my predictions were wrong.

I did say that I thought that Edwards was done when he accepted public financing.

Still...I've got a right to be surprised by Freddie Thompson coming in third.

Paul's surprising showing, he nearly broke two digits, is not a surprise. He has a small number of intensely devoted supporters, which caucuses reward.