20 November 2009
Blue Dog Walking
Rep. Allen Boyd (FL-02), a prominent Blue Dog who voted against the Stimulus and the Healthcare Bill, is trailing state Senate Minority Leader Al Lawson in the primary, with Lawson leading 35%-31%.
Understand that the rule of thumb is that undecideds currently break about 2:1 for the challenger, and Boyd knows this, so he is already running ads in the district.
To be fair, this is not a Blue Dog in a solidly Democratic district, McCain got 54%, but it's been a Democratic seat for decades (there was a guy who switched mid-term, and he got defeated the next election), and the congressional seat went Democratic by over 20 points.
I think that the district, and the nation, can be better served by someone less inclined to be reflexively right wing.
Understand that the rule of thumb is that undecideds currently break about 2:1 for the challenger, and Boyd knows this, so he is already running ads in the district.
To be fair, this is not a Blue Dog in a solidly Democratic district, McCain got 54%, but it's been a Democratic seat for decades (there was a guy who switched mid-term, and he got defeated the next election), and the congressional seat went Democratic by over 20 points.
I think that the district, and the nation, can be better served by someone less inclined to be reflexively right wing.
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