02 May 2008
Economics Update
Well, we just got a jobs report that shows just how screwed up our statistics have gotten, with non farm jobs falling by 20,000 but the unemployment rate went down, which just does not work.
Additionally, the so called birgh death corrections are completely bogus:
+45k construction jobs v 37k April 2007
+8k jobs were added in financial activities versus 1k last April.
+72k in professional/business services versus 48k last April.
+83k in leisure/hospitality (95k last April).
The idea that construction and financial added 53,000 jobs in April comes from somewhere west of the planet Skaro.
The financial press is uncritically applauding, of course.
In energy, oil is upto over $116 for the first time in a few days, but gasoline is down, not hitting a new record for the first time in 17 days.
Meanwhile, the Fed and other central banks are pouring yet more money into the frozen financial system. The Fed is allowing more types of bonds in its trash for cash auctions, but it does not appear to help. The LIBOR, from which much of the adjustable rate loan rates are derived has been largely unmoved.
It's pushing on a string, as I've said before, because it's a solvency crisis, not a liquidity crisis, as I've also said before.
The is still strengthening a bit, but I'm a bear long term, but I'm a bear on everything.
In more pushing on a string news, the US treasury is offering 0% on its inflation protected savings bonds.
A small distinction, mypost of 4 March had was about TIPS, not inflation protected savings bonds, just in case you are wondering if I'm repeating stuff.
Finally, in real estate, 63% of home sales in San Diego are short sales and REOs, which means that either the owner has sold for less than they owe, or it's been foreclosed on.
Additionally, the so called birgh death corrections are completely bogus:
+45k construction jobs v 37k April 2007
+8k jobs were added in financial activities versus 1k last April.
+72k in professional/business services versus 48k last April.
+83k in leisure/hospitality (95k last April).
The idea that construction and financial added 53,000 jobs in April comes from somewhere west of the planet Skaro.
The financial press is uncritically applauding, of course.
In energy, oil is upto over $116 for the first time in a few days, but gasoline is down, not hitting a new record for the first time in 17 days.
Meanwhile, the Fed and other central banks are pouring yet more money into the frozen financial system. The Fed is allowing more types of bonds in its trash for cash auctions, but it does not appear to help. The LIBOR, from which much of the adjustable rate loan rates are derived has been largely unmoved.
It's pushing on a string, as I've said before, because it's a solvency crisis, not a liquidity crisis, as I've also said before.
The is still strengthening a bit, but I'm a bear long term, but I'm a bear on everything.
In more pushing on a string news, the US treasury is offering 0% on its inflation protected savings bonds.
A small distinction, mypost of 4 March had was about TIPS, not inflation protected savings bonds, just in case you are wondering if I'm repeating stuff.
Finally, in real estate, 63% of home sales in San Diego are short sales and REOs, which means that either the owner has sold for less than they owe, or it's been foreclosed on.
Labels:
Currency
,
Economy
,
employment
,
Energy
,
Finance
,
Real Estate
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