04 September 2007

Huckabee Surging

Once again, I am wrong in a prediction. Huckabee is surging in polls.

I had kind of written him off as being too Arkansas, and too formerly fat.

My early prediction was for Brownback, who I think is rather more telegenic, but is going nowhere.

By way of lame excuse, I did not realize that Brownback was Catholic, which is a big strike against him in the Republican primary.

Additionally, I think that Huckabee's life story has a redemption element, specifically his dropping over 100 pounds and getting in shape.

People love a redemption element, and being morbidly obese is pretty mild as a problem to recover from, compared to something like, bribes, diapers, or men's room pickups.

Of course, the fact that I was wrong about this is one more reason why my making predictions scares me.

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