19 May 2022

It's Thursday

So last week's initial unemployment claims numbers were released today.  203K, up 1,000. 

That's basically no change.

Also, continuing claims fell to a 52 year low.

On the other hand, 80% of small business owners are convinced that a recession is imminent.

Assuming that the rate increases from the Federal Reserve continue apace, I think that there is a pretty good chance that we will see a major down turn in real estate, along with attendant knock on effects.

My prediction?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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